The probability of Republican control advanced modestly to a midpoint estimate of 73.3%. After remaining stable at 225 for more than a week, the estimated seat count for Republicans increased to a midpoint estimate of 227 seats.
In the Senate, the macro version of the model's midpoint estimate for GOP Senate seats is 48.9, compared to the micro version's midpoint estimate of 48.1. Control probabilities stand at midpoint estimates of 24.9% in the macro version and 9.2% in the micro version. It should be noted that models consider only candidates running as Republicans in determining the projected outcomes.
For a detailed table of probability estimates for individual Senate races see the table below
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