Daily Update: Basically Sideways; Dems Improve in Key Races

Today's update is limited to just the numbers since tomorrow will bring a far more extensive analysis of the trends in the various races and the various combinations of outcomes.  Suffice it today, House Republicans maintained an 85% probability of control in the next Congress; in the Senate, the movement at the macro and micro model levels was basically sideways, BUT Democrats did improve in key races in West Virginia and Washington.  Republicans showed improvement in Nevada and California.  It will be interesting to watch markets absorb a large amount of new (and in some cases contradictory) polling as well as recent debate performances.

Tomorrow promises at least one distinct positive -- My beloved Buffalo Bills will end Sunday without a loss for the first time since the regular season began.

As always, send me suggestions and questions by emailing electionmarkets@gmail.com or throwing me a tweet @electionmarkets.