Our state based model that uses InTrade data hasn't seen one yet. Here is a comparison of our results since the first Presidential debate.
A lot can and will change over the next two weeks, but here's what it looks like as of last evening.
Friday, October 19, 2012
538 vs. Election Markets: We Don't See the Bounce Yet
Over the last few days, Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight forecast and now vast have shown the President beginning to make a comeback.
Our state based model that uses InTrade data hasn't seen one yet. Here is a comparison of our results since the first Presidential debate.
A lot can and will change over the next two weeks, but here's what it looks like as of last evening.
Our state based model that uses InTrade data hasn't seen one yet. Here is a comparison of our results since the first Presidential debate.
A lot can and will change over the next two weeks, but here's what it looks like as of last evening.
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